Nebraska football prediction markets

A pipeline that records the publicly reported trades on the Nebraska football markets it tracks at Kalshi and Polymarket, so the question of how much money moves on them can be answered from evidence rather than estimated.

Two prediction markets list contracts on Nebraska football: who wins each game, the spread, the total, season win totals, conference and playoff outcomes, and markets on individual players. Both report completed trades publicly. This project collects them daily and keeps each response exactly as the platform returned it, so any figure can be traced back to the response that produced it.

Nothing here is a finished analysis. This page reports what has been collected, not what it means.

What has been collected

First collection run, 8 September 2026.

What the trades are on

Every trade is tied to the market it was made in, and every market is classified by what it asks. The two platforms are listed separately because their units are not the same thing.

Kalshi, by market

Polymarket, by market

Draft markets, counted separately

Polymarket also lists markets on where college players will be taken in the professional draft, and files them under college football because the subject is a college athlete. They are markets on named players, but they are not markets on college football outcomes, so they are tracked as their own category and kept out of every figure above.

They matter to the picture for one reason. Unlike the prop markets on college performance, which barely trade, draft markets on named college players do attract money. None of the ones collected so far name a Nebraska player. That is a fact about what is listed, not evidence that nobody anywhere bets on Nebraska players.

Where the numbers come from

Both platforms publish market data through public interfaces that need no account. The collectors discover Nebraska markets on each run rather than working from a fixed list, because both platforms add markets weekly. Every response is archived unmodified, with the time it was fetched, before anything is read from it.

Kalshi

Seventy-seven college football market families are walked each run (thirty-three when the figures above were collected). A market counts as a Nebraska market if its identifier or its text names Nebraska, which includes the opponent's side of a Nebraska game. Ninety of the 228 markets have already settled.

Polymarket

Game markets are found through the college football listing and futures through keyword search, then filtered. Nebraska's basketball teams use the same abbreviation as its football teams, so an early version of this filter pulled in 67 basketball events, including a single basketball game that had traded $503,345. Events must now carry a football tag before anything else is considered.

This is not a record of every bet

Within the markets it tracks and the window it covers, the archive holds what the platforms reported publicly. That is a narrower thing than every wager on Nebraska football, in five specific ways.

• These are trades, not bets placed. Only matched trades are reported. An order placed and never filled, or cancelled before it matched, leaves no trace. Each trade also has two sides, so a single "bet" has no clean definition here.
• Polymarket figures are the taker side only. The trades feed returns one row per taker fill by default. On the 5 September game that was 326 rows where the fuller view returned 739. Counting both sides would double the total, so the taker side is used deliberately, but it is half of the fill records.
• Kalshi history here begins in July 2026. Kalshi moves older trades to a separate interface at a shifting cutoff, currently 10 July 2026, and the daily job does not reach past it. The earliest trade held is 3 July 2026. Nebraska's Big Ten championship market opened on 24 January 2026, so months of its trading are absent.
• Only markets the collectors find. Seventy-seven market families are searched on each run, thirty-three when the figures above were collected. Anything Nebraska-related outside that list is invisible. Of the 228 markets tracked, 141 have produced any trade at all.
• One venue is not covered. Polymarket directs visitors in the United States to a separate site, polymarket.us, which runs on its own backend with its own market identifiers. Trades made there do not appear in the public feed used here, so the Polymarket figures cover polymarket.com only.

What this does not cover

• Sportsbooks. No sportsbook or daily fantasy prop lines are collected. Their interfaces refuse automated access, and the one open source is a weekly selection that did not list Nebraska at all. A sportsbook publishes a line and never publishes how much was bet on it.
• Who is trading. Kalshi publishes no identity for the parties to a trade. Polymarket publishes a wallet address for each fill; those are recorded for analysis but are redacted from everything published here, because a wallet address is a person's trading history.
• Player markets. Both platforms list markets on named Nebraska players. They are collected because they are markets, and they are reported only as totals. No figure is attached to any named athlete.

Method and source data

• METHODOLOGY.md — what each figure means, every collection decision with the date it was made, and the limitations that follow from them.
• RECON.md — what each platform publishes, established endpoint by endpoint, with a saved response behind every claim.
• Sample responses — the archived responses those findings rest on.
• Source code — collectors, tests and the scheduled job.